Jim McGee writes about a speech by Paul Saffo.  In the speech, Saffo shared his rules for forcasting the future.  Though I won’t pretend to understand the meat of Jim’s post — or Saffo’s speach, for that matter — these rules are worth remembering the next time you need to predict the future in your business or your life:

Rule 1. Know when not to make a forecast. 

Rule 2. Overnight successes come out of twenty years of failure.

Rule 3. Look back twice as far as forward.

Rule 4. Hunt for prodromes.

Rule 5. Be indifferent.

Rule 6. Tell a story or, better, draw a map.

Rule 7. Prove yourself wrong.  

Technorati Tags: forcasting, predictions, paul+saffo, jim+mcgee